Experimental Design in Ecology (Part III)

or
"Quantitative synthesis and meta-analysis: 

linking data with models and moving beyond P-values"

 

Where:  University of Pittsburgh's Pymatuning Laboratory of Ecology

When:  July 28 - Aug 1; M-F 8-5pm

Instructor:  Craig W. Osenberg (personal web page)

Course Information:



Course description.  

The course will be structured like a workshop, with a combination of lectures and discussions, and considerable time to work on group projects.  The central theme of the course will be meta-analysis -- the quantitative synthesis of data from independent studies that test a similar hypothesis.  As a result, we will revisit some basic premises that we've all learned in our statistics and ecology courses, including the role of null hypothesis testing and the meaning and interpretation of P-values.  As an alternative, we will discuss the derivation and estimation of effect sizes, and more importantly, we will struggle with the very difficult issue of defining a suitable measure of effect size.  Defining "effect size" is largely a conceptual problem and one that can't be solved with statistical expertise alone (e.g., how do you quantify the "effect of competition" or the "relative importance of top-down control" or "seed limitation" or "phenotypic plasticity" or any other phenomenon of interest to ecologists?).  To highlight these issues each student will participate in a meta-analysis project.  To jump-start the process, there will be some work required before the first day of class....

Assignments.
Prior to the start of class on Monday, July 28th, please:
  1. Read Gurevitch and Hedges (1999), Osenberg et al. (1999), and Johnson (1999).  
  2. Think about a meta-analysis project that you would like to do.  On Tuesday morning (the second day of class), you will need to present a 2-page proposal for a meta-analysis project.  This proposal should include a compelling conceptual motivation (why is the question important and how can meta-analysis be used to illuminate the problem), as well as detail about the availability of papers that can be used in the meta-analysis.  You will turn in a copy of your proposal to the instructor at the start of class and give an oral presentation to the the class.
  3. Try to have at least the beginnings of a list (full citations) of ~20 papers (certainly, no fewer than 10 and no more than 30) that contain data that can be used in your proposed meta-analysis.  Most of you will probably already have such a list derived from your graduate research interests.
  4. Try to have copies (hardcopies or pdfs) of these papers (or at least most of them) with you at Pymatuning (this will save us considerable class time).  
Schedule (very crude and will undoubtedly change -- we will be very flexible depending on the needs of the class).

 

Day

Date

Topic

Readings (to be read prior to the date listed)

Notes

Monday

July  28

Morning:

Introduction;

 

Null hypothesis testing and the P-value culture;

Activity: analysis of sample dataset.

Afternoon:

Lecture/Discussion: Meta-analysis, effect sizes, time-scale;

Activity: defining questions and appropriate effect sizes.

  1.  Gurevitch and Hedges (1999) Ecology 80:1142-1149;

  2. Osenberg et al. (1999) Ecology 80:1105-1117. 

  3. Johnson (1999) J. Wildlife Management 63:763-772. 

Sample data set (Excel

 

Reference Lists: 

  • Hypothesis tests, P-values (pdf)

  • Statistical Power (pdf)

  • Meta-analysis (pdf

  • Relative Importance (pdf

Tuesday

July 29

Morning:

Presentation of meta-analysis proposals;

Selection of project(s);

Game plan -- how to proceed.

Afternoon:

Working groups: literature search, definition of effect size, covariates, define a strategy for your group.

  1. Bring 2- page proposal and reference list to class;

  2. Be prepared to give oral presentation of your proposal.

Wednesday

July 30 

Morning:

Lecture/Discussion: MetaWin;

Working groups: Literature search and data extraction.

Afternoon:

Working groups: Data extraction and preliminary analyses.

Evening:

Seminar.

Rosenberg et al. (2000), especially Chapters 2, 4, & 5.  You also find the first manual handy (v 1.0).

 

Excel examples (PS, Snails, Den-dep)

Thursday

July 31

Morning:

Lecture/Discussion: Relative importance, Phenotypic plasticity; Phylogenetic issues

Working groups: Data analysis.

Afternoon:

Working groups: Data analysis.

  1. Felsenstein (1985) Am Nat 125:1-15 -- read at least the first 6 pages; 

  2. Westoby et al. (1995) J. Ecology 83:531-534.

  3. Harvey et al. (1995) J. Ecology 83:535-536.

Friday

Aug 1

Morning:

Working groups: Complete group projects;

Working groups: Prepare presentation.

Afternoon:

Group presentations;

Discussion;

Beer.


last updated 23 Jul 2003 , by CWO